31 Comments
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Abhikun's avatar

Who won the war was evident by just observing where are the people that were celebrating.

Iranians were celebrating and Israeli were sulking.

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Feral Finster's avatar

The people in Gaza celebrated the ceasefire in Gaza as well. That didn't last long.

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George McFetridge's avatar

Yes. How corny to fall for war games' spectacle.

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Dr. Nicholas Corrin's avatar

Beyond the huge own goal scored by p(r)oxy Israel in its Risk-Monopoly moves, lies the follow-on question of renewed Iranian national identity, forged (or manipulated?) as a result of this egregious Zionist entity's aggression upon its territories. This will reinforce, at least temporarily, the hands of the otherwise defunct theocratic regime, despised by the majority of its own population. This gives the Ayatollahs a free MIGA (make Iran great again) pass and, ironically, weakens the standing of what are arrogantly projected as "Western" liberal democratic values and freedoms held by the fed up majority of the anti-theocratic population, as opposed to these being three thousand year old defining Persian/Iranian cultural and philosophical norms. Jason Reza Jordani recently published a very interesting historical perspective on recent events, contextualizing things within the larger subject of Iranian territorial and cultural integrity going back as far as the Achaeminid empire. He foresees attempts by the West, in collusion with competing Iranian and other ethnicity leftist groups, to "balkanize" Iran through import of multicuturalism, wokism and so on, much like what happened in America and W. Europe under the Biden regime. One could compare the export of multiculturalism to the British opium wars used against China. JRJ predicts this will inevitably trigger an intense nationalist backlash, leading to the emergence of a fascist Iranian state (a similar dynamic spread out over a longer period of time to what we are seeing microcosmically in the 46-47 shift in the US).

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Malcolm MacPhail's avatar

I’m not an Iran expert, but from what little I know, Iran seems very different from Iraq, Syria or Iraq in terms of ethnic and sectarian divisions. I am struck by the fact that Ayatollah Khamenei is Azeri and the President Masoud Pezeshkian had an Azeri father and Kurdish mother. The various communities in Syria, Iraq and Lebanon have a long and rich history which should be respected. However the countries themselves are just over 100 years old and were created by western imperial powers after the collapse of the Ottoman Empire. Iran on the other hand has existed as a state in one form or another for 2,600 years. I would hazard to speculate that ethnic and religious minorities in Iran are more integrated into the state than other countries in the region, and thus it would more difficult to exploit these divisions than say Lebanon or Syria. There are separatist movements in the Azeri and Kurdish areas of the country, but these don’t seem very significant and I wonder if they are strong enough to destabilize the state.

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Feral Finster's avatar

Lots of people in Iraq and Syria are of mixed heritage as well.

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George McFetridge's avatar

It's about the Business of armaments at all times. All other aspects are deflections and psyops.

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Kurvingrad's avatar

True, mixed ethnic heritage can be worked well into any outcome. Look at Bosnia/Herzegovina

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George McFetridge's avatar

The business of armaments loves mixed ethnic heritages: it preys on divisions, which ensure no true peace.

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BK's avatar

😂😅🤣

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Paulo Aguiar's avatar

Israel, backed by the U.S., came off looking reckless, overextended, and exposed. Netanyahu bet big on shock and awe, hoping to topple a regional adversary and drag Washington in deeper.

Instead, what he got was a blown cover on Mossad’s most valuable assets, a battered home front, and a regional rival that now looks more united and more emboldened than before.

Iran didn’t need to win outright; they just had to survive, retaliate, and show they could hit back hard. They did exactly that.

Everyone saw the “ceasefire” for what it was: an off-ramp for two states that couldn’t afford to keep trading blows.

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Martin.'s avatar

The thing that really struck me regarding this fiasco, kabuki theatre was Trump's rhetoric. His 'second hand car salesman' personality was fully exposed. I mean does he really believe his own lies? Who does he think he's convincing? We all know he's masquerading as a president and serious statesmen can see him for all he really is. Great piece Kit, I appreciate all your work.

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Kit Klarenberg's avatar

Really kind of you to say, Martin! Thank you so much. I can but try!

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Martin.'s avatar

I thought the slot on Pluralia Dialogos with Matt Ehret was fantastic. It was a shame Ray never made it, he's another who is always worth listening to. Decline & fall is also another staple of mine. So credit where it's due.

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Kit Klarenberg's avatar

Hoping to get on the show again, except with Ray this time, at some point soon

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Kurvingrad's avatar

"The thing that really struck me regarding this fiasco, kabuki theatre was Trump's rhetoric."

Why would it?

It's the Trump show at prime tvtime. What really changed from previous potuses is the decorum (the style) and nothing more.

Trump has his own style which lacks diplomatic linguistics. Car salesman is an apt description, but unlike prior potuses, he has msm against him, with everything under a microscope. Funny thing, despite msm pummelling him, his parlance works

"We all know he's masquerading as a president and serious statesmen can see him for all he really is."

As above, since at least Dubya, what's the difference?

It's a trick question, nothing meaningful changed

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Danny Nemu's avatar

Great article Kit, thanks for writing it

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Kit Klarenberg's avatar

Cheers Danny!

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Evelyn K. Brunswick's avatar

That missile footage is just weirdly and disturbingly beautiful. So long as one forgets it's about missiles and death.

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Feral Finster's avatar

1. You talk often of law. Law is meaningless. Enforcement is the only thing that matters.

2. The genocide in Gaza continues apace. Israel is using the opportunity to reload, rearm and regroup.

Iran was foolish to have relented so easily, just as it was foolish not to have gotten The Bomb.

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George McFetridge's avatar

Iran does what it does to further Business.

All law other than Natural Law [if it exists] is Concept, and therefore worthless.

The gaza genocide serves Business.

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Kurvingrad's avatar

Laws are meaningful, when accepted by those making them.

All kids in my home accepted law of washing the hands as they come home. It needed affirmation but no enforcement.

Enforcement of law is meaningless, as it degrades any law to being only imposed thus unaccepted.

Perhaps that means natural laws.

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George McFetridge's avatar

Meaning doesn't depend on acceptance.

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dornoch altbinhax's avatar

Israelis were busy packing and leaving; those who got away to Cyprus probably celebrated for different reasons. Good luck to the destitute of Tel-Aviv and Haifa.

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Amos's avatar

“The flaccid outcome of Israel’s attack is amply underscored by mainstream reports Tel Aviv and the U.S. first plotted the strike under the Biden administration, and conducted war-game exercises explicitly targeting ‘Iranian nuclear capabilities’.”

It’s been hilarious to watch all the liberals arguing that Biden would never have bombed Iran.

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Pete Russell's avatar

If there was no media blackout in the apartheid genocidal entity, it would be OBVIOUS who won this BATTLE… Iran. In the meantime, the war CONTINUES. In reality it has been ongoing for years but the hot war just began. Iran always stated that they will stop once attacks on them stopped as per their religious laws. When the next battle(s) continue, Iran most certainly will be the victor. They’ve “only” been a country thousands of years.

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Alistair P-M's avatar

You have to wonder how much longer the US empire can continue to prop up and arm Ukraine and Israel, what with their chronically slow and outsourced manufacturing processes. They keep launching more and more attacks on various fronts, but once they run out of tanks and missiles for real, it will surely have to come screeching to a halt pretty quickly. Might be good news for Russia and West Asia but not for those living in the imperial core.

One document the Iranians allegedly released from either a hack or leak of Israeli documents, was an alleged plan for the Samson Option in the event that Israel's existence was threatened, complete with lists of western targets. It would be interesting to hear Kit's take on it, whether it's credible and realistic

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George McFetridge's avatar

All this earnest, detailed reporting on war games being played only further shows up the fraudulent show it all is here in devout Business-first World, which runs all human actions.

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Dmitriy Milkin's avatar

Kit! This is also (like your post/article) definitely worth reading. The first day goes to Israel (preemptive) and the remainder (11) to Iran.

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Roberto's avatar

Da cittadino d'Italia, sono stufo di pagare per mantenere la Nato, il braccio armato dell'impero anglo-americano sionista. Glia alletai europei, con la complicità di governi servi, sono trattati come una colonia, e le spese militari portate al 5% del PIL, non sono altro che un tentativo di salvare un impero tecnicamente fallito da tempo, mantenuto in vita con sistemi predatori e coloniali, saccheggiando tutto il possibile appena ne ha l'occasione. Quanto al concetto contenuto nel post, della mancata fine dell'aggressione a Gaza, collegata alla tregua tra Iran e Israele, non chiesta dagli iraniani per una eventuale aggressione Usa, anche via terra, è palesemente smentito dai fatti precedenti. Esempio dell'incapacità militare degli Usa: aggressione allo Yemen con una guerra per procura durata circa 10 anni, anche con mezzi terrestri, ma senza riuscire a vincere neppure contro uno dei paesi più poveri del mondo. Non solo, l'ultimo attacco aereo durato un mese, non ha fatto altro che mettere in evidenza il fallimento Usa, sia dell'aeronautica e sia della marina, dopo aver speso 2 mld di dollari. Invece la presunta supremazia mondiale è stata definitivamente compromessa, in particolare con l'abbattimento di droni e aerei (i presunti migliori al mopndo Reaper e F16) e con il danneggiamento grave di alcune portaerei (secondo alcune fonti ben 6, ne rimarrebbero solo 4 funzionanti). Ora la propaganda falsa non serve più, ormai è inutile che qualcuno sogni ancora la supremazia dell'impero, è al declino e i fatti lo dimostrano, le guerre non si combattono senza denaro, ma con 36.000 mld di debito, gli Usa stanno crollando finanziariamente, trascinando tutto l'occidente governato da servi ottusi e il dollaro in liquefazione lo testimonia.

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